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E-Mini
Futures:
Why They Have Grown So Fast?
by D.R.
Barton, Jr.
I
often get asked the question, “If you could only trade one thing,
what would it be?”
Without
hesitation, I would say the S&P 500 e-mini futures contract.
Today,
I’ll tell you why. But
just for a bit of clarity, I enjoy trading and working with traders
who trade futures, stocks, options and forex.
And there are people who excel in all of these areas.
But
with all of these choices, here is my belief:
Given the right tools, strategies and mental approach, I
believe that e-mini trading is the single most powerful way to
deploy trading capital today.
And
it’s where I’m spending the majority of my trading time.
Before
we jump in and look at the power of e-minis, let’s cover the
basics of e-mini futures contracts.
E-mini
index futures have become THE instrument of choice for many traders.
On a “dollar value traded per day” basis, the S&P 500 e-mini
is one of the biggest (if not the biggest) exchange traded
instruments in the world. Currently
the S&P e-mini averages $144 billion traded per day.
That’s 6.8 times bigger than the pit traded S&P 500
contract. (When I wrote
about e-minis at the beginning of the year, the e-minis were
out-trading their older brother by 4.5 times – so it has increased
its lead by 50%!) They
have experienced growth unlike any other instrument, and for good
reason.
For
comparison, Microsoft trades about $1.5 billion worth of shares per
day.
So,
if I could only pick one thing to trade, why the S&P 500?
It has the best combination of attributes that traders need.
· Leverage.
A major advantage for e-mini trading is the high amount of
leverage they offer. And
for day traders, this leverage is increased even further.
Let’s look at the actual leverage available:
the S&P e-mini trade unit is $50 times the S&P 500
Stock Index. Currently,
that calculation looks like this:
$50 x 1550 = $77,500. The
margin to control $77.5k worth of value is around $3,500 giving you
leverage of about 22:1 on your money.
However, day trading margins drop significantly with $1,000
margins common and some reputable firms offer $500 margins.
At these rates, you can increase your intraday margin to
greater than 100:1!
But
remember that leverage is a double- edged sword that definitely cuts
both ways. While such
leverage allows for large returns on very little money, it can also
mean that you can lose large amounts as well.
· Liquidity.
Liquidity is usually thought of in terms of trading volume.
It is the characteristic that gives us the ability to get in out of
trade both quickly and at a preferable price (or with little to no
slippage). E-mini index
trading gives us exceptional liquidity and great fills with little
slippage. And these
attributes are very necessary to allow us to take advantage of the
available leverage.
· Exchange
Traded. I know lots
of folks out there are trading forex.
And while around the world, forex has a very high amount of
spot contracts trading hands, that liquidity isn’t necessarily
available to retail traders who almost always end up trading against
their brokers instead of with other traders through an exchange.
Trading a highly liquid e-mini contract through an electronic
exchange really levels the playing field for retail traders.
·
Scalability.
Certain types of trading can only be used on a small scale
and cannot be translated to larger volumes as success occurs and
larger position sizes are required.
But e-mini index trading in general and S&P e-mini
trading in particular are highly scaleable.
Getting virtually no-slippage fills on 200 S&P e-mini
contracts is an extreme advantage.
·
Round-the-clock liquidity.
The S&P e-mini has liquidity 23.5 hours a day, which is
another advantage; the effect of overnight gaps are greatly reduced.
You can keep a stop in the market if you’re doing a swing
trade and then have your protection kick in at a time when your IBM
stock is still sleeping.
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E-Mini
Futures –
Trading Like the Pros – Not the “Joes”
by
D. R. Barton, Jr.
There’s
an interesting television program out now called “Pros vs.
Joes”. It’s a
reality TV series with an interesting premise – it pits backyard
“wannabees” against actual professional athletes. To be honest,
the “Joes” almost never stand a chance.
Every
once in a while one of the average “Joes” will make a lucky play
and beat the professional – but rarely will they win one of the
staged events. The
skill and experience of the pro athletes is just too great to
overcome.
The
same thing happens in the financial markets.
Every day, a different version of “Pros vs. Joes” occurs
in trading. New and
inexperienced traders take on the pros.
And the results are the same as in the reality sports show
– the Joes have an occasional lucky win, but in general, the pros
are consistently walking away with the money.
I
want to introduce you to one of the real pros in the market, but
first, let’s look at a few of the things that set professional
traders apart from the less experienced players in the market:
-
First
and foremost, professionals have an understanding of what works
in the market. They
turn that market knowledge into a plan, and then stick to the
plan in an unwavering manner.
-
Pro
traders have a game plan and prepare for the market each day.
This preparation allows them to make money under many
different market conditions
-
Pro
traders take what the market gives instead of forcing their will
(or their strategy) on the market.
They have multiple tools in their toolkit that allow them
to participate in different market conditions.
-
And
of course, pro traders follow Van’s Ten Task of Trading.
More on this below…
In honor of St.Valentine's
Day, I’d like to offer an unabashed view of the electronic e-mini
index futures markets. Like
many people’s relationships, there are certain things about
e-minis that I love – and other things that I just have to put up
with. So let’s look
at both sides of the coin, and see what conclusions we can draw
about these ultra-popular trading tools.
Things to Love
About Index E-Minis:
Liquidity.
This is what allows us to enter and exit trades with a
minimum of slippage. The S&P
500 is among the most liquid exchange traded instruments in the
world. Other index e-minis are also very liquid and enjoy
significant day trader participation.
These include the Dow, the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000.
More on each of these below.
Level Playing Field.
With e-minis, all trades are computer matched.
This means that a the trader at a terminal in Topeka, Kansas
is not at a disadvantage to anyone trading e-minis around the world.
The high level of liquidity also helps make a level playing
field, because it's almost impossible for the spreads to get bigger
than one tick in the four e-minis mentioned above. (The spread is
the difference between the bid and offer prices).
Leverage.
Overnight leverage on e-minis is high, at roughly 20:1 for
the S&P 500 e-mini. Day-trading
leverage is screaming at most brokerages, with some brokerages
allowing greater that 100:1 leverage.
It’s tougher to get a bigger bang for your trading buck
than in e-minis.
Predictable Movement.
One of the reasons that so many professional traders trade
the index e-minis is because they have predictable price movement
intraday. This means
that when prices approach certain points, there is a pattern of
reaction that can be exploited.
This tradeable edge is a critical – and much loved –
aspect of e-mini trading.
An Index Personality for
Everyone. The four
major indexes that are traded (S&P, Dow, Nasdaq and Russell)
each have different personalities, while sharing the overall
characteristics and trading styles of indexes.
The S&P is a bit slow and ponderous, with great fills and
minimum slippage. The
Russell is the other end of the spectrum – moving quickly at the
drop of a hat. Both the
Dow and Nasdaq fall somewhere in between.
Things
About E-Minis that We Just Have to Put-Up With
The quirks and
idiosyncrasies of the e-minis are there also.
Yes, they do have their downsides.
And just like our significant others, these are things about
e-minis that we’d love to change but can’t – so we just learn
to live with them.
Leverage – the Other
Side of the Sword. Great
leverage can bring great reward.
But it also brings great risk.
If you have a $10,000 account that allows you to trade on
$1000 margin, you can trade 10 Russell contracts.
A 10 point move in your favor will double your account; a 10
point move against you will wipe you out.
With leverage this high, proper risk management is absolutely
critical.
The Cumbersome S&P.
There are periods of time when the S&P seems to act like
a huge oil tanker. Never
moving outside of a narrowly defined range.
Trend Days vs. Range
Days. Traders in
all instruments have the problem of deciding if you’re in a trend
or a range. But for
many, this is a particularly beguiling problem in the indexes.
Fortunately, there are some tools that can help us here.
But without those tools, many a trader has been caught on the
wrong side of the market all day, only to look back in calmer times
and see the error of their way!
Differences in the
indexes. While the
different personalities of the indexes give us different reasons to
trade them based on conditions, set-ups, etc., they also mean that
we have to learn about each instrument in order to trade them.
As with most worthwhile endeavors, there is no one size fits
all.
The bottom line: Trading
e-mini futures indexes is a bit like driving a fine sports car –
they’re fast, they corner great, and they have a few
idiosyncrasies. But at
the end of the day, they are still the best way to get the most bang
for your buck.
Christopher
Castroviejo and I teach a jam-packed three day workshop where you
will learn to exploit the benefits of e-mini trading while avoiding
the potholes.
Back
to Workshop Page
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