Great Systems for Bear Markets

How to Profit in Falling Markets

Three-Day Workshop

Presented by Robert Tharp

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Learn five systems specifically created to make money in bear markets.  Study the systems’ logic, observe them traded live, and then practice trading these systems in class with a historical data simulator.

Dear Trader,

When the markets start falling off, do you step back? Does the volatility associated with bear markets scare you?  Do your trading systems let you down or even surrender hard earned equity in a declining market?

If you answered yes to any one of those questions, you are far from alone.  And, if you are not well-prepared to trade declining markets, you are very prudent to pull back from the markets.  Better to leave the markets temporarily and wait for more profitable conditions for your systems and your style trading.

What if these kinds of markets conditions offered you opportunities for significant profits? What if you had trading systems custom made to perform well in falling and volatile markets?  What would it be worth to you to understand bear markets better and to know how to trade them profitably?

The Van Tharp Institute designed this workshop and these particular systems for our clients who want to take advantage of declining markets—a condition that I expect to continue through the coming years during what I believe is a secular bear market. 

What You Will Learn

Day One: Bear Market Essentials

Day One is devoted to understanding the nature of a bear market and developing the required mental strategies to profit when the markets fall.  You’ll study ways to define a bear market and how to identify the signals that a bear market may be starting. You’ll also study in depth the concept of shorting and a valuable mindset to help you short effortlessly. There will be an extensive review of trading system development with a special focus on its application in bear markets. The day ends with the presentation of a simple long-term trading system that is long, flat, or short depending on measured market conditions. It beats the pants off buy and hold, and you can trade it in only a few minutes a month.

Day Two: Bear Market Systems

On the second day, you’ll get serious about learning great systems for bear markets. Some systems position holding periods may be as short as a few minutes, others may be as long as a few months.  Your instructor, Robert Tharp, presents the logic and beliefs behind why each system works.  Each system profits in different ways from the other systems.  This helps provide a varied set of beliefs to apply in the market and also prevents the systems from taking highly correlated positions. Also, for each system, Robert goes into great detail on the individual trading system components: setups, entries, initial risk stops, profit taking exits, and position sizing.  There are a multitude and diversity of system components that Robert will explain.  Each set fits together into a strong system. Robert also presents the back tested and live tested results for each system.

Day Three:  Live and Simulated Trading

The third day is all about application. Robert will demonstrate one or more of the systems (depending on setup availability) by trading real money live. Seeing systems traded live is perhaps one of the most valuable sessions in this workshop. With live trading, you can watch how the setups, entries, initial stops, and exits work together—all in the pace of real time.  Almost as valuable as the live trading is the trading you’ll be doing on a trade simulator. This gives you practice applying the systems you learned about in Day Two with the help of an instructor looking over your shoulder and answering your questions.

Characteristics of the Five Bear Market Trading Systems

System 1

  Intraday to short swing system.

  Self-regulating—setups disappear when the market turns.

  About 80% winning trades with numerous small gains.

  The low cost on-line screener recommended is simple to set up and emails you the new trades setups nightly. 

  A similar black box system is sold for more than $7,500.

  Works well in bear markets and bull markets.

System 2

  Works in volatile bear markets (also works in volatile sideways and volatile bull markets).

  Intraday to swing duration.

  Based on a thoroughly researched method with several improvements.

System 3

  Longer term system.

  Fundamental/value-orientation for the system with some technical support.

  Specifically for bear market lows and bottoms (but you don’t have to pick the bottom).

  Easy to achieve consistent double digit R-Multiple returns.

  Derived from the methods of one of the richest traders around.

System 4

  Intraday—no overnight risk.

  A trader friend of Robert’s started with a small account and made about $2 million with this system last year.

  High frequency of opportunities.

  Works well in bear markets (and others as well). 

System 5

 Variable time horizon—has proven to work for intraday, swing, and long term traders.

  Works well in bear markets and, depending on its application, in other types too.

  Small risk with high probability trades when the market produces the signals.

  Risk/reward ratios between 3-1 and 10-1 when applied long term.

Introducing Your Instructor, Robert Tharp

Robert has been trading since 1995.  He got his start as a runner at the CBOT in the Bond Options Pit.  He soon expanded his learning to the 30 Year T-Bond Pit.  He was learning to trade futures and in one memorable stretch, was able to catch a huge trend in cattle due to his insight and a mad cow disease scare.

After his floor experience, he started to trade stocks long term from home.  For nearly five years, he doubled his money every year.  Never though, had he seen a bear market.  All of his systems were long, so you can guess what happened to him in 2000.  Even though his systems basically stopped working, he survived because he thoroughly understood position sizing and risk control.

He knew enough to persevere, but he couldn’t generate a steady profit.  Robert now understands that he had an important lesson to learn at that point in his trading career: markets change.  More importantly, traders need to adapt to changing markets to trade profitably.  He came to understand that certain systems will work fantastically at one point in a market cycle and fail miserably at another point.  The key is to have systems ready for the different parts of the cycle. 

Robert started studying market cycles and searching for systems that might work in the new environment.  In his search Robert sought and found day traders who, surprisingly, were doing well.  He learned how they looked at this new and different kind of market, what kind of opportunities that they saw, and how they were taking advantage of the downdrafts.   As he learned, he started trading in new ways and making consistent money again. 

Robert found success with two strategies he hadn’t used before: going short and using short-term systems.  These strategies eventually evolved into full systems that he still trades today—in the right kind of market conditions. 

Since 2000, Robert has developed and traded systems with diverse approaches and time horizons.  As a result of many personal friendships and extensive professional relationships, Robert personally knows and communicates with a large network of successful traders.  In the process of managing three trading offices over the years, he has learned how to effectively teach trading methods so his students can succeed.

Robert has a deep understanding of the Van Tharp Institute’s core principles.  He has over a decade of experience developing and trading systems.  He has also taught core trading principles and trading systems to a large number of traders.  On the basis of his deep experience, vast knowledge, and valuable market insights, he’s uniquely suited to teach systems that profit most in bear markets.

Benefits of Attending the Workshop

 You will recognize bear markets and the need for unique strategies required to trade them so you can know when and how to change your strategies in a timely manner.

 You can grasp the importance of Van Tharp’s principles on trading psychology, systems, and position sizing before you start trading, which will allow you to trade over the long term.

 You will comprehend the key concepts of shorting and be able to apply it easily in down markets.

 You will discover five trading systems that will equip you with multiple ways to succeed in bear markets. These five systems have the following benefits:

  • previous back testing and live testing in the markets

  • a fully analyzed track record

  • high probability setups

  • low risk position sizes 

  • exits with large gains or small losses

  • extensive written system plans

  • prior live trading by the person teaching them to you

 You will understand how to always apply risk-to-reward ratio to only take trades that have the most potential for making you money

 You will know why proper position sizing is more important to trading success than having high R-Multiple trading systems. This will help you focus your efforts on producing more profit rather than tweaking your trading systems.

 You will learn from Robert Tharp, a 14-year professional trading veteran who will help you glean additional insights from his rich and broad trading experience—advice not found in books or articles.

 You will observe the real time execution of one or more of the trading systems presented and witness the systems working.

 You will practice multiple bear market system trades in various scenarios with the assistance of the instructor using a trading simulator.  You can begin to develop the confidence to recognize quickly the setups, entries, and exits for the trades before you put your money on the line. 

 You will live through multiple adverse “once in a few lifetimes” trading simulations so that you can practice events that are never “supposed” to happen. Without real money at risk, you can think through and learn how to react and maybe even how to profit from an event that could easily wipe you out.

 You will meet some like-minded traders with whom you can strategize and connect. This is a great opportunity to continue your learning and networking long after the workshop.

We have never before presented a trading systems workshop designed for one specific kind of market. Then again, we’ve never had conditions like we have now. This is a unique course with one-of-a-kind systems for a market type many people simply don’t trade.  For that very reason, it offers great opportunity.

I hope you'll join us for this exciting new workshop in 2010. — Van K. Tharp

Here's what other attendees said about the workshop:

"I got far more ideas, strategies and information than I had expected. The material presented was excellent." —P. Bayley

"I only expected to learn systems, but learned a lot more." M. Finlay

"Fantastic course. I got far more than I was expecting! I'm buzzing." I. Jones

"The only place you get 'Tharp Think' delivered by real world traders." —P. Foskett

"A valuable course that I thought was presented in an informative way. I liked the fact that it was interactive." —L McIntosh

"Very interactive, excellent content." —M. Tan

Click here to Register Now or Click Here to check dates and locations.

 

 

 

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Last revised: April 19, 2010