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Doing a Spring
Cleaning on Yourself As a Trader
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Doing a
Psychological Assessment of Yourself; Ten Important Questions to
Ask, By Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.
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Twenty Four
Things You Can Do Now to Move Toward Peak Performance
Health,
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Developing a
Business Plan, By Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.,
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The Importance of
Vision and Goals to Your Business Plan
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On Attaining
Happiness: A Psychological Exercise That Could Improve Your
Trading Experience
One of the best
things you can do for yourself as a trader is a Spring cleaning.
This should take on three forms. I have an article in this issue
of Market Mastery on each of the ways you can do spring
cleaning.
The first way, and
the most important way, is to work on the core of your trading—you.
This means your beliefs, attitudes, mental states, and habitual
patterns—working on anything that holds you back from being your
best as a trader.
Now this first area
is really a lifetime worth of work, but most people do very little
in terms of self-work in their lifetime. This Spring you could
possibly do more work than most people do in a lifetime. This is
covered in the article, Doing A Psychological Assessment of
Yourself; Ten Important Questions to Ask." It includes ten
questions that you can ask yourself and numerous steps that you
can take to do the work.
The second key area
that you can work on is your health. I’ve been working with my
good friend Bruce DuVe for about three years on this critical
area. I did everything he said for about nine months and then
found myself falling back. However, as a result of my experiences
working with Bruce, I’m more than convinced that good health is
the core basis for good psychology and for furthering your
spiritual development. As a result, I’m reprinting the a segment
from the interview I did with him in which he recommends 25 steps
that you can do now to improve your health.
The third key area
that you can work on in your Spring cleanup is your discipline. As
a result, I’ve included an article that recaps the steps you
need to develop rock-solid discipline during the next 9-12 months.
I said nine months
first, because I recommend that you repeat everything at the
beginning of next year. That’s because your discipline is not
something you do once and then forget about. It’s something you
need to do every year to form a solid foundation and then you need
to use that foundation to do daily steps. We’ll cover both the
yearly tasks and the daily steps in the article on discipline.
Lastly, the fourth area that you
can work on in your Spring cleanup is your trading business plan.
A trading business plan is the core of your success in trading and
you need to spend the time to do one if you haven’t done so
already. Your plan should include your discipline plan, your
trading beliefs, your assessment of the big picture, at least
three strategies that fit the big picture, a detailed trading plan
for each strategy, and a worst case contingency plan. We’ll
cover all of these areas in a fourth article in this special issue
of Market Mastery.
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Understanding Expectancy
and The Golden Rule of Trading
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Understanding
Expectancy and The Golden Rule of Trading, By Van K. Tharp,
Ph.D.
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Risk (R) and
R-Multiples, By Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.
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Evaluating How
Good Your Trading System Really Is, By Van K. Tharp, Ph.D
This edition features Van latest
work. Van is currently updating and revising his work on position
sizing in a new publication, the Definitive Guide to Position
Sizing and Expectancy. This issue features the first 3 of
17 chapters.
Introduction to
Expectancy: One of the key fundamentals that every trader/investor
must know is "how do you evaluate the effectiveness of your
trading methodology." Part One of this book does just that
with a thorough evaluation of the topic of expectancy.
In Chapter 1, we
explore the Golden Rules of Trading – some core trading
fundamentals that you must follow if you are to survive and
prosper in today’s market. Then, in Chapter 2, we move on to
understanding risk and how to properly think about all of your
trades in terms of risk-to-reward ratios (or R-multiples as we
call them). Both these chapters are critical to understand if you
want to survive long-term trading the markets.
In Chapter 3, we
get into core ways to monitor how good your system is. It not just
expectancy or the average risk-reward ratio in your trading. It’s
not expectancy times opportunity, although that gets you a little
closer. You also have to consider the variability of your system,
because if you have a low-variability system, especially when it
comes to losses, you can typically make much better returns out of
the same expectancy.
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Are You Doomed
to Failure?
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Are You Doomed to
Failure? Yes, but Only if You Avoid Working on Yourself! By Van
K. Tharp, Ph.D.
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Books I Really
Like, By Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.
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A Reminder: Two
Systems are Required to Trade, By Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.
In my modeling work with good
traders, I’ve generally found that the average person will do exactly the
opposite of what is required for success. This is partly due to the way we
process information. In fact, psychologists for the last fifteen years have
studied the psychology of decision-making and risk, and concluded that we are
very poor at both. Thus, it is not surprising that most people have trouble
following "the golden rules of trading." (See the last issue of Market
Mastery for more information about the Golden Rules.)
Judgmental Shortcuts
Why Judgmental Shortcuts
Are Important: French Economist George Anderla found that the rate
of information flow that human beings must cope with doubled in the
1500 years between the time of Jesus and Leonardo DaVinci. By the
year 1750 (i.e., in about 250 years), it doubled again. The next
doubling only took about 150 years to around 1900. The onset of the
computer age, in the 1960s, reduced the doubling time to about 5
years. And, with today’s computers offering electronic bulletin
boards, DVD ROMs, fiber optics, the Internet, etc., the amount of
information to which we are exposed currently doubles in less than a
year.
Researchers now estimate
that humans, with what we currently use of our brain potential, can
only take in 12% of the visual information available. And for
traders and investors, the situation is at an extreme. A trader or
investor, looking at every market in the world simultaneously, could
easily have about a million bits of information coming at him or her
every second. And since there are usually some markets open around
the world at all times, the information flow does not stop. Some
poor traders actually stay glued to their trading screens, trying to
process as much information as possible for as long as their brain
will permit.
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How Academia
Leads Wall Street Astray
My purpose in
writing this article is to suggest the following:
• The super rich
create a money game and a trading game. Through academic research,
they justify the great Wall Street Machine, which feeds off
commissions and asset management fees. They use this same research
to mislead you into doing all of the wrong things.
• Over the years,
while modeling top traders, I’ve developed some principles that
are the basis for success. However, the great Wall Street Machine
doesn’t want you to know these principles. In fact, they want
you to believe totally otherwise, so that you’ll add your
savings to their pockets.
If you’ve read my
interview with a fund manager in two prior issues of Market
Mastery, then you can understand how people inside the Wall Street
Machine think in terms of relative performance and are trained to
act when they are forced to maintain a 95% minimum allocation in
stocks. Thus, they are never out of the markets when they should
be.
My purpose in
writing this article is to show you 1) how academia endeavors to
shape your thinking and 2) how they could never support the
principles that work. And to that end, I’ve elected to interview
Scott Brown, a good friend of mine who just got his Ph.D. in
finance and has become a finance professor.
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Van
Tharp Institute
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Last revised: January 02, 2008
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